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2024-12-14 03:04:00

Liu Xiangdong, Deputy Director of Scientific Research and Information Department of International Economic Exchange Center: Comprehensive improvement of "involution" competition will help scientific and technological innovation and industrial development enter a virtuous circle. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productive forces and build a modern industrial system. In this regard, Liu Xiangdong, deputy director of the Scientific Research and Information Department of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that at present, China's economic development is in a critical period of transforming old and new kinetic energy. Scientific and technological innovation is the core element of developing new quality productivity. To break through the bottleneck of development from the supply side, it is necessary to lead industrial innovation and development with scientific and technological innovation and actively cultivate and develop new quality productivity. To cultivate new quality productivity, we should drive productivity to leap to advanced quality with scientific and technological innovation, open up new development fields and tracks with original and subversive technological innovation, and shape new development momentum and new advantages. (SSE)Adobe(ADBE.O) fell by 12%, the biggest one-day drop since March 15th.Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association: Boosting consumption ranks first in the key work next year. Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association and founding president of the National Research Institute of New Economics, told reporters that boosting consumption is the top priority of economic work next year, ranking first in the key work next year, which is based on the new changes and new demands of the current economic situation. Among the specific measures to boost consumption, the highlights include the implementation of the special action to boost consumption, the implementation of the "two new" policy, and greater support for the "two new" projects. These measures are aimed at promoting consumption growth in an all-round way by optimizing the consumption environment, increasing consumption supply and improving consumption quality. (SSE)


Liu Xiaochun, Vice President of Shanghai New Finance Research Institute: Small and medium-sized financial institutions may focus on capital increase, restructuring and mergers and acquisitions. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of no systematic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Liu Xiaochun, vice president of Shanghai Institute of New Finance and Shanghai Jiaotong University Institute of Finance, believes that local debt risks are gradually being resolved, and efforts should be made to resolve real estate risks and risks of small and medium-sized financial institutions in the next stage. (SSE)South Korean investors flocked to the gold market. Today, the South Korean National Assembly passed the "Yin Xiyue General Special Inspection Law for Civil Disturbance" and the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law". According to a survey released by the Korean polling agency on the 12th, 74.8% of the respondents thought that President Yin Xiyue should immediately step down or be impeached, and stop performing his duties. The political situation is turbulent, and the sales of gold bars of the five major banks in South Korea have also increased significantly. On the first day after the emergency martial law incident, that is, on the 4th of this month, more than 1.5 billion won of gold bars were sold, far exceeding the daily average. (CCTV Finance)Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)


Korean media disclosed the details of the State Council meeting before and after the emergency martial law. According to Yonhap News Agency, the South Korean Ministry of Administration and Security disclosed the relevant information provided by the Presidential Palace on December 11th about the meeting to declare emergency martial law and lift martial law. According to the data, Premier Han Dezhu said that all State Councillors attending the State Council meeting on the evening of the 3rd of this month expressed their opposition to the martial law proposed by President Yin Xiyue, and believed that martial law would have a serious impact on the Korean economy and credit, and would not be accepted by the people. (CCTV International News)Bitcoin rose nearly $700 in the short term, with an increase of 0.5% in the day, and is now reported at $101,588/piece.GBP/USD fell 0.4% to 1.2700, the lowest level in a week.

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